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Untitled Document
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Election 2006 - U.S. Senate
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* Election Matchup
* Candidate Favorability Ratings
* Candidate Traits
* Campaign Advertising
* Referendum on Bush Administration
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"Whom would you vote for if the election for senator were held today and the candidates were...Republican Mark Kennedy, Democrat Amy Klobuchar, the Minnesota Independence Party's Robert Fitzgerald, the Green Party's Mike Cavlan, and the Constitution Party's Ben Powers?"
| Candidate |
July
6-11,
20061 |
September
13-15,
2006 |
October
6-11,
2006 |
October 31 -
November 1, 2006 |
November
4-5,
2006 |
November
5-6,
2006 |
| Kennedy |
31% |
30% |
32% |
33% |
33% |
33% |
| Klobuchar |
49% |
54% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
54% |
| Fitzgerald |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
| Cavlan |
1% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
| Powers |
1% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Aldrich |
1% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
| Other (vol) |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
| None (vol) |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
| No opinion |
12% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
9% |
| Sample |
813 LV |
820 LV |
818 LV |
1027 LV |
740 LV |
747 LV |
| MoE |
± 3.4 |
± 3.4 |
± 3.4 |
± 3.2 |
± 3.7 |
± 3.6 |
1 "Whom would you vote for if the election for senator were held today and the candidates were...Republican Mark Kennedy, Democrat Amy Klobuchar, Independence Party candidate Robert Fitzgerald, Green Party candidate Mike Cavlan, Libertarian Party member Charles Aldrich, and Constitution Party member Ben Powers?"
"Whom would you vote for if the election for senator were held today and the candidates were...Republican Mark Kennedy, Democrat Ford Bell, Independence Party candidate Robert Fitzgerald, Green Party candidate Mike Cavlan, Libertarian Party member Charles Aldrich, and Constitution Party member Ben Powers?"
| Candidate |
July 6-11, 2006 |
| Kennedy |
37% |
| Bell |
26% |
| Fitzgerald |
5% |
| Cavlan |
2% |
| Aldrich |
1% |
| Powers |
1% |
| Other (vol) |
2% |
| None (vol) |
4% |
| No Opinion |
22% |
| Sample |
813 LV |
| MoE |
± 3.4 |
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Candidate Favorability Ratings |
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"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Amy Klobuchar."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
60% |
25% |
4% |
11% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
61% |
16% |
10% |
13% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
46% |
12% |
28% |
14% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Mark Kennedy."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
40% |
44% |
4% |
12% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
44% |
34% |
7% |
15% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
37% |
27% |
16% |
20% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Robert Fitzgerald."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
7% |
6% |
69% |
18% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
6% |
3% |
82% |
9% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
6% |
2% |
84% |
8% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Mike Cavlan."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
2% |
2% |
90% |
6% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
2% |
2% |
92% |
4% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Ben Powers."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
2% |
2% |
92% |
4% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
2% |
1% |
93% |
4% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Charles Aldrich."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
4% |
2% |
87% |
7% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Ford Bell."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
7% |
5% |
79% |
9% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
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"I will now read some statements. For each one tell me if it best describes Robert Fitzgerald, Mark Kennedy, or Amy Klobuchar. How about...
| Statement |
Klobuchar |
Kennedy |
Fitzgerald |
None |
All the same |
No opinion |
| Is in tune with Minnesotans on the issues |
55% |
26% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
13% |
| Is sympathetic to the problems of the poor |
57% |
18% |
2% |
4% |
2% |
17% |
| Is a strong leader |
49% |
29% |
1% |
4% |
2% |
15% |
| Thinks independently |
49% |
23% |
6% |
4% |
2% |
16% |
| Is well qualified to be senator |
49% |
30% |
1% |
4% |
5% |
11% |
| Has a well-defined program for the state |
42% |
24% |
1% |
7% |
2% |
24% |
Date: October 6-11, 2006
Sample: 818 LV
MoE: ± 3.4
"Which one of the following is most important to you in deciding whom to vote for in the U.S. Senate race?
| Most important for Senate vote |
October 31 –
November 1, 2006 |
November 4-5,
2006 |
November 5-6,
2006 |
| The candidates' different position on the issues |
44% |
47% |
47% |
| The candidates' political party |
10% |
12% |
10% |
| The candidates' personal characteristics |
11% |
9% |
11% |
| Events that happened during the campaign |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| The current direction of the country |
27% |
24% |
22% |
| Other (vol) |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| No opinion |
4% |
4% |
6% |
| Sample |
1027 LV |
740 LV |
747 LV |
| MoE |
± 3.2 |
± 3.7 |
± 3.6 |
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"(Next some questions about political ads on TV and radio. In the U.S. Senate campaign.) ... Have you seen or heard any advertising about Mark Kennedy?"
| Date |
Yes |
No |
No opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
86% |
12% |
2% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
"Do you think these ads mostly explain his positions on issues, do they mostly attack him or do you not remember them well enough to say?"
| Date |
Explain |
Attack |
Don't
remember |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
33% |
31% |
23% |
13% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
"Have you seen or heard any advertising about Amy Klobuchar?"
| Date |
Yes |
No |
No opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
89% |
9% |
2% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
"Do you think these ads mostly explain her positions on issues, do they mostly attack her or do you not remember them well enough to say?"
| Date |
Explain |
Attack |
Don't
remember |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
34% |
42% |
14% |
10% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
"Do the ads you have seen or heard make you more likely to vote for Mark Kennedy or more likely to vote for Amy Klobuchar?"
| Effect of ads |
October
6-11,
2006 |
October 31 –
November 1,
2006 |
November
4-5,
2006 |
November
5-6,
2006 |
| More likely for Kennedy |
29% |
22% |
21% |
22% |
| More likely for Klobuchar |
46% |
42% |
40% |
41% |
| Won't affect vote (vol) |
13% |
21% |
25% |
25% |
| Haven't seen / heard ads (vol) |
-- |
4% |
4% |
2% |
| More likely for someone else (vol) |
1% |
6% |
5% |
6% |
| No opinion |
11% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
| Sample |
818 LV |
1027 LV |
740 LV |
747 LV |
| MoE |
± 3.4 |
± 3.2 |
± 3.7 |
± 3.6 |
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Referendum on Bush Administration |
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"Do you think of your vote for Senator as a vote supporting the Bush administration or as a vote opposing the Bush administration, or isn't that much of a factor in your vote?"
| Date |
Supporting |
Opposing |
Not a
factor |
Neither
(vol) |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| November 5-6, 2006 |
13% |
43% |
40% |
1% |
3% |
747 LV |
± 3.6 |
| November 4-5, 2006 |
16% |
43% |
36% |
1% |
4% |
740 LV |
± 3.7 |
| October 31 – November 3, 2006 |
14% |
46% |
35% |
1% |
4% |
1027 LV |
± 3.2 |
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