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Untitled Document
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Election 2006 - Governor
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* Election Matchup
* Candidate Favorability Ratings
* Candidate Traits
* Campaign Advertising
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"Whom would you vote for if the election for governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Tim Pawlenty, Democrat Mike Hatch, the Minnesota Independence Party's Peter Hutchinson, the Green Party's Ken Pentel, the American Party's Leslie Davis, or the Quit Raising Taxes Party's Walt Brown?"
| Candidate |
July
6-11,
20061 |
September
13-15,
2006 |
October
6-11,
2006 |
October 31 -
November 1, 2006 |
November
4-5,
2006 |
November
5-6,
2006 |
| Pawlenty |
41% |
39% |
36% |
38% |
39% |
39% |
| Hatch |
39% |
41% |
44% |
43% |
39% |
42% |
| Hutchinson |
5% |
6% |
6% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
| Pentel |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
| Davis |
N/A |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
| Brown |
N/A |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
| Other (vol) |
0% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
| None (vol) |
2% |
0% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
| No opinion |
11% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
14% |
11% |
| Sample |
813 LV |
820 LV |
818 LV |
1027 LV |
740 LV |
747 LV |
| MoE |
± 3.4 |
± 3.4 |
± 3.4 |
± 3.2 |
± 3.7 |
± 3.6 |
1 "Whom would you vote for if the election for governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Tim Pawlenty, Democrat Mike Hatch, Independence Party candidate Peter Hutchinson, and Green Party candidate Ken Pentel?"
"Whom would you vote for if the election for governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Tim Pawlenty, Democrat Becky Lourey, Independence Party candidate Peter Hutchinson, and Green Party candidate Ken Pentel?"
| Date |
Pawlenty |
Lourey |
Hutchinson |
Pentel |
Other /
none |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
47% |
26% |
8% |
3% |
4% |
12% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
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Candidate Favorability Ratings |
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"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Tim Pawlenty."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
46% |
44% |
2% |
8% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
50% |
41% |
3% |
6% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
51% |
37% |
2% |
10% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Mike Hatch."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
52% |
29% |
6% |
13% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
53% |
24% |
8% |
15% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
51% |
21% |
12% |
16% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Peter Hutchinson."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
22% |
9% |
49% |
20% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
16% |
6% |
63% |
15% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
12% |
4% |
73% |
11% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Ken Pentel."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
7% |
4% |
79% |
10% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
5% |
3% |
83% |
9% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Leslie Davis."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
5% |
4% |
82% |
9% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Walt Brown."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| September 13-15, 2006 |
2% |
2% |
91% |
5% |
820 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Sue Jeffers."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
6% |
4% |
81% |
9% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
"(Now I will read a list of people in politics. For each one please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you don't know the name, just say so.) ... Becky Lourey."
| Date |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Don't know
name |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| July 6-11, 2006 |
18% |
8% |
65% |
9% |
813 LV |
± 3.4 |
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"I will now read some statements. For each one tell me if it best describes Mike Hatch, Peter Hutchinson, or Tim Pawlenty. How about..."
| Statement |
Pawlenty |
Hatch |
Hutchinson |
None |
All the
same |
No
opinion |
| Is in tune with Minnesotans on the issues |
35% |
38% |
8% |
2% |
3% |
14% |
| Is sympathetic to the problems of the poor |
20% |
44% |
8% |
7% |
2% |
19% |
| Is a strong leader |
42% |
35% |
3% |
4% |
2% |
14% |
| Thinks independently |
25% |
32% |
17% |
5% |
3% |
18% |
| Is well qualified to be governor |
38% |
37% |
4% |
3% |
8% |
10% |
| Has a well-defined program for the state |
33% |
33% |
5% |
7% |
2% |
20% |
Date: October 6-11, 2006
Sample: 818 LV
MoE: ± 3.4
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"(In the campaign for governor) ... Have you seen or heard any advertising about Tim Pawlenty?"
| Date |
Yes |
No |
No opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
80% |
17% |
3% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
"Do you think these ads mostly explain his positions on issues, do they mostly attack him or do you not remember them well enough to say?"
| Date |
Explain |
Attack |
Don't
remember |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
42% |
23% |
23% |
12% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
"Have you seen or heard any advertising about Mike Hatch?"
| Date |
Yes |
No |
No opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
74% |
23% |
3% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
"Do you think these ads mostly explain his positions on issues, do they mostly attack him or do you not remember them well enough to say?"
| Date |
Explain |
Attack |
Don't
remember |
No
opinion |
Sample |
MoE |
| October 6-11, 2006 |
37% |
28% |
25% |
10% |
818 LV |
± 3.4 |
"Do the ads you have seen or heard make you more likely to vote for Mike Hatch, more likely to vote for Tim Pawlenty, or more likely to vote for Peter Hutchinson?"
| Effect of ads |
October
6-11,
20061 |
October 31 -
November 1,
2006 |
November
4-5,
2006 |
November
5-6,
2006 |
| More likely for Hatch |
39% |
34% |
28% |
28% |
| More likely for Pawlenty |
28% |
29% |
32% |
31% |
| More likely for Hutchinson |
N/A |
7% |
7% |
8% |
| Won't affect vote (vol) |
16% |
17% |
20% |
23% |
| Haven't seen / heard ads (vol) |
-- |
3% |
4% |
3% |
| More likely for someone else (vol) |
3% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
| No opinion |
13% |
9% |
8% |
7% |
| Sample |
818 LV |
1027 LV |
740 LV |
747 LV |
| MoE |
± 3.4 |
± 3.2 |
± 3.7 |
± 3.6 |
1 "Do the ads you have seen or heard make you more likely to vote for Mike Hatch or more likely to vote for Tim Pawlenty?"
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